Environment

Climate Change May Cut Rainfed Rice and Wheat Yields by 20% by 2050, Scientists Warn

7 November 20262 min1 source4 questionsStory 14 of 79

For Prelims: Rainfed Agriculture, Soil and Ecological Restoration, Groundwater Recharge, Projected Yield Loss, Crops Affected, Key Recommendations, Summit Host, Summit Theme

For Mains: Rainfed agriculture vulnerability, Soil restoration-based agriculture, Climate-resilient farming

Source:HindustanHindustan

Why in the news?

Scientists have warned that climate change could reduce rainfed rice and wheat yields by up to 20% by 2050. They recommend soil and ecological restoration-based farming, rainwater harvesting, groundwater recharge, and sustainable agricultural practices to mitigate the impact. A report based on their research will be submitted to the government.

Summary

  • Climate change projected to cut rainfed rice and wheat yields by 20% by 2050.
  • Recommended solutions include soil and ecological restoration-based agriculture, water conservation, and sustainable farming practices.
  • IIT Kanpur hosted a summit on 'Soil and Ecological Restoration-based Agriculture, Water and Energy for Mitigating Climate Change Impacts'.

Highlights

  • Crop Yield Threat

    Climate change may reduce rainfed rice and wheat yields by up to 20% by 2050.

  • Soil Restoration Focus

    Scientists advocate for soil and ecological restoration-based farming as a key solution.

  • Water Conservation Push

    Rainwater harvesting and groundwater recharge are recommended to combat climate impacts.

Background

Rainfed agriculture, which relies on monsoon rainfall, is highly vulnerable to climate change. India has a large area under rainfed farming, and rice and wheat are major staple crops. A 20% yield reduction by 2050 would threaten food security and farmer livelihoods, especially in states such as Bihar, Uttar Pradesh and Madhya Pradesh.

Key Analysis and Impact

The warning comes from scientists including those from IIT Kanpur. They emphasize that soil and ecological restoration-based agriculture can improve soil quality and water retention. Their initiatives have already reached over 8,000 farmers across 5,000 acres, saving about 1.3 crore litres of groundwater. This shows practical, scalable solutions exist but need policy backing.

Way Forward

A comprehensive report based on scientific research and innovations will be submitted to the government. Experts call for coordinated efforts integrating science, technology, and policy, and for implementing special plans to bring scientific knowledge to farms. Prioritizing regenerative agriculture, sustainable water management, and clean energy in rural areas is essential.

Background GK

Textbook concepts you need to understand this news

Rainfed Agriculture
Farming that depends entirely on rainfall for water, without irrigation. It is common in regions with adequate monsoon rainfall and supports crops like rice, millets, and pulses.
Soil and Ecological Restoration
Practices that rebuild soil health and ecosystem functions, such as using organic matter, cover crops, and reduced tillage, to enhance water retention and carbon storage.
Groundwater Recharge
The process of replenishing underground aquifers through natural or artificial means like rainwater harvesting, percolation tanks, and check dams.

Facts to remember

Tap a card to see the answer. Try to recall it first.

How exams will ask this

  • Data: Up to 20% yield reduction in rainfed rice and wheat by 2050
  • Nodal Body: Ministry of Environment, Forest and Climate Change / Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare

Don't make this mistake!

The 20% reduction applies specifically to rainfed rice and wheat, not all rice and wheat. Also, it is a projection by 2050, not an immediate or current decline. Do not confuse with total agricultural GDP or irrigated crop yields.

Write these in mains answers

  • Rainfed agriculture vulnerability, Soil restoration-based agriculture, Climate-resilient farming

Stuck? Get it in one tap

Practice questions

Pick an answer, then read the explanation.

  1. Q1Easy

    Which type of agriculture is most vulnerable to the climate change impacts mentioned in the news?

  2. Q2Hard

    Consider the following statements:

    1. 1.Climate change may reduce rainfed rice and wheat yields by up to 20% by 2050.
    2. 2.The scientists recommended increasing the use of chemical fertilizers to boost yields.
    3. 3.A report based on scientific research will be submitted to the government.

    Which of the statements given above is/are correct?

  3. Q3Medium

    By which year could rainfed rice and wheat yields decline by up to 20%?

  4. Q4Medium

    What is the primary objective of the soil and ecological restoration-based agriculture recommended in the news?

Frequently asked questions

1. How much could rainfed rice and wheat yields decline by 2050 due to climate change?

Scientists warn that yields could decline by up to 20% by 2050.

2. What solutions are recommended to address this yield decline?

Recommended solutions include soil and ecological restoration-based farming, rainwater harvesting, groundwater recharge, and sustainable agricultural practices.

3. Which institute hosted the summit where these warnings were discussed?

IIT Kanpur hosted the Regional Rural-India Summit on the theme of soil and ecological restoration-based agriculture, water and energy.

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